BLUF

China’s economic decline could weaken its alliance with Russia, disrupting Moscow’s reliance on Chinese trade. This instability might undermine Russia's war efforts and influence in Ukraine.

Summary

  1. Western sanctions pushed Russia to depend on China for trade.
  2. China made Russia accept lower prices for gas and oil.
  3. Beijing controls key parts of Russia’s military supply chain.
  4. China could withhold vital electronics from Russia.
  5. In return, China may seek better trade deals with Western governments.
READ: Why China's sinking economy could backfire on Vladimir Putin

References