The author argues that the war is still far from a stalemate but rather in a long war's usual ebb and flow cycle. Large offensives take time to plan and stage. Any Ukrainian counteroffensive requires Western equipment.


Liam Collins writing in the Conversation, makes the following points:
  • Russia relies on artillery shelling, calling up reserves and must repair its logistical system.
  • Both sides tried to rebuild combat power and prepare for the next major offensive over winter.
  • Ukraine will hold territory where it can and surrender territory where it must preserve combat power for counteroffensives.


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