Predicting the future is difficult; in the forties and fifties nobody saw a world where analog could be replaced by digital*—but they did predict flying cars.
- One futurism fallacy is imagining that future society will be just like present-day society, only with more gadgets.
- Futurologists tend to oversell the future, and while we have not found a cure for cancer or Alzheimer's, we do have digital phones and the internet.
- Past futurists have focussed on incremental advances, missing game-changers such as the analog-to-digital transition.
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