BLUF
Recent Russian drone and aircraft incursions into NATO airspace are provocative but not an immediate existential threat. Europe can address the modest risk with layered counter-drone measures, avoiding escalation and direct NATO engagement in Ukraine.Learning Outcomes
- Understand Russian hybrid tactics, distinguishing between provocations and credible strategic threats to NATO airspace.
- Evaluate layered, low-cost counter-drone strategies (electronic, kinetic, AI-assisted) as alternatives to high-risk escalation.
- Apply risk management principles in multinational, multi-domain operations, balancing deterrence with avoidance of unnecessary escalation.
