BLUF
NATO members warn Russia may stage limited provocations in Baltic states or Poland to test alliance unity, amid pressure from Ukraine strikes. Intelligence suggests hybrid attacks rather than full invasion, raising fears of escalation.Learning Outcomes
- Analyse how Russia may use limited or hybrid provocations to test NATO cohesion without triggering full-scale conflict.
- Evaluate the impact of Ukraine’s long-range strikes on Russian strategy and escalation risks.
- Assess NATO member responses and preparedness measures in the face of potential regional instability and hybrid threats.
