BLUF

China is likely to test its growing military through limited overseas conflicts before attempting any potential Taiwan invasion. These “small wars” could provide vital combat experience, refine amphibious capability, and signal readiness for larger operations.

Learning Outcomes

  • Analyse how limited interventions can develop operational proficiency and readiness for major campaigns.
  • Assess indicators of Chinese military intent through overseas engagements and expeditionary activity.
  • Apply lessons from historical “small wars” to anticipate future PLA strategic behaviour and regional implications for the ADF.

References