The Kremlin has not yet been able to stop Ukraine’s counterattacks to regain ground lost to Russia in the early stages of the war.
- Effective Ukrainian attacks are forcing the Kremlin to divert resources away from frontline operations to help secure rear areas.
- Russia’s increasing personnel shortages mean that Russia cannot secure its logistic support chain.
- Ukrainian military successes have degraded Russia’s ability to such an extent that, based on current information, future Russian offensive operations look unlikely.
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