BLUF

The Kremlin has not yet been able to stop Ukraine’s counterattacks to regain ground lost to Russia in the early stages of the war.

Summary

This article by George Barros and Noel Mikkelsen, writing for ISW, makes the following points:
  • Effective Ukrainian attacks are forcing the Kremlin to divert resources away from frontline operations to help secure rear areas.
  • Russia’s increasing personnel shortages mean that Russia cannot secure its logistic support chain.
  • Ukrainian military successes have degraded Russia’s ability to such an extent that, based on current information, future Russian offensive operations look unlikely.

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