BLUF
Previous referendums revealed deep ethnic divisions. Instability challenges France’s Indo-Pacific strategy—resolving political deadlock will require genuine engagement that recognises local identities and longstanding tensions across a deeply divided electorate. Pacific leaders back Kanak self-determination.Learning Outcomes
• Understand regional geopolitical dynamics — the article highlights how France’s Indo-Pacific approach is impacted by internal dissent within its territories.
• Recognise political complexities in decolonisation — it provides context on how historical grievances and identity politics influence governance outcomes.
• Appreciate the consequences of policy missteps — the unrest in New Caledonia reflects how failing to manage local sensitivities can disrupt broader strategic objectives.
