BLUF
The increasingly dangerous interceptions of Australian aircraft reflect deliberate military coercion; a deteriorating regional security environment; and the breakdown of global norms—reinforcing the urgency of AUKUS and strengthened Australian deterrence.Learning outcomes
• Analyse coercive PLA air and maritime behaviours and their operational risks to lawful ADF activities
• Explain deterrence requirements — including AUKUS and persistent ISR — to counter a more assertive China.
• Recognise escalation pathways from tactical intercept incidents to strategic crisis or conflict.
