BLUF
Surveyed experts expect conflict risks to stay high in 2026. Middle East and Ukraine sit at the top. China–Taiwan and Russia–NATO remain high-consequence risks. The report also flags where early, practical prevention could still work.Learning Outcomes
- Identify which 2026 conflict scenarios could disrupt regional stability and drive rapid escalation.
- Explain why prevention tools—diplomacy, deterrence, and partner capacity—need to be aligned early, not improvised in crisis.
- Apply the tiering method to prioritise planning, readiness, and risk conversations in a team setting.
