BLUF
Large-scale drills signal intent through pressure and timing—testing responses, shaping perceptions, and raising regional risk. Meanwhile, economic ties and crisis channels remain strained under competing claims and external arms support.Learning Outcomes
- Recognise how signalling and timing shape escalation without open conflict.
- Assess how surveillance data informs situational awareness and response options.
- Apply lessons on crisis communication, restraint, and miscalculation risks.
