BLUF

China's aggression over Nancy Pelosi's visit to Taiwan is just a continuation of China's current aggression, which probably owes more to problems in implementing China's strategic Belt and Road Initiative.

Summary

This article by Mohamed Zeeshan, writing for SCMP, makes the following points:
  • When Chinese President Xi Jinping first unveiled his flagship Belt and Road Initiative, it seemed like a masterstroke.
  • This Initiative is now in trouble partly due to Covid lockdowns.
  • To maintain its influence with Belt and Road countries, China might be considering a pivot to a more aggressive, militarily based foreign policy.

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