BLUF
China's aggression over Nancy Pelosi's visit to Taiwan is just a continuation of China's current aggression, which probably owes more to problems in implementing China's strategic Belt and Road Initiative.Summary
This article by Mohamed Zeeshan, writing for SCMP, makes the following points:
- When Chinese President Xi Jinping first unveiled his flagship Belt and Road Initiative, it seemed like a masterstroke.
- This Initiative is now in trouble partly due to Covid lockdowns.
- To maintain its influence with Belt and Road countries, China might be considering a pivot to a more aggressive, militarily based foreign policy.
References
Recent Runway Posts related to this topic:
- Xi Jinping failed to derail Nancy Pelosi's trip to Taiwan, but he's still beating the drums of a 'defensive' war | The Runway (airforce.gov.au)
- Beijing bristles at Biden’s "yes" for US military intervention if China invades Taiwan | The Runway (airforce.gov.au)
References from the Web:
- JUL 2022 China’s emerging Belt and Road debt crisis—Financial Times
- AUG 2022 China’s show of force over Taiwan a chance to test military coordination but results unclear: analysts—SCMP
- AUG 2022 China and Taiwan: A really simple guide—BBC