BLUF
There are plenty of known unkowns in Putin’s invasion of Ukraine but the national interest is to keep things from spiralling out of control. It’s difficult to establish a relationship with Russia due to a new strategic reality including cyber.Summary
This article by Sean Illing from Vox makes the following points:
- For the first time since 1945, a major war is possible between nuclear-armed military superpowers.
- Previously, if a state was going to invade another, it needed an internationally plausible reason.
- Putin has overturned this.
- Many European and non-European countries are reassessing their foreign policy and defence spending.
- The fate of the global order is uncertain.
- Post the Cold War; any neighbouring state could join NATO except Russia.
- Russia feels threatened by NATO and doesn’t want any NATO-Ukraine cooperation.
- Cyber competition between the US and Russia threatens the freedom to travel, the economy and world ‘openness’.
- In a significant move, Finland and Sweden are talking about joining NATO.
References
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References from the Web:
- MAR 2022 Ukraine: How might the war end? Five scenarios | BBC
- MAR 2022 The invasion of Ukraine has shaken the liberal world order. Is Europe prepared for what comes next? | ABC News
- MAR 2022 Opinion | In Ukraine, the Liberal World Order Is Being Redrawn |Haaretz
- MAR 2022 Denmark to hold referendum on scrapping EU defence opt-out |The Guardian
Source Information: Vox
- Article Source: Vox
- Media Check: Vox -Media Bias/Fact Check (mediabiasfactcheck.com)
