BLUFThis article argues that the 2022 election is quite different from 2019 with the key issues being the pandemic, decarbonisation and geopolitical rivalry.
This article by Graeme Dobell from The Strategist argues that:
- The Australian Federal election must be held by 21 May.
- The vote is basically for or against the sitting government.
- International issues are merging with domestic.
- Morrison has to overcome the view that he’s slow to take action.
- Morrison delivered a ‘miracle’ win in the 2019 election with a scare campaign.
- Things have now changed –action on climate change has widespread support making wedging Labor difficult.
- Painting the Opposition as soft on China (debunked by a former Department of Defence Secretary) may scare Chinese Australians in crucial seats.
- The response to COVID may have some electoral impact this election, but decarbonisation and strategic competition have long term repercussions.
Recent Runway Posts related to this topic:
- Defence Minister Peter Dutton says China considers Australia a 'tributary state' that should submit to its power | The Runway (airforce.gov.au)
References from the Web:
- JAN 2022 Climate wars to die down in federal election as major parties dodge risks | Sydney Morning Herald
- FEB 2022 Poll shows hit to Coalition vote over Covid handling and health funding | The Guardian
- FEB 2022 National security looms over election | Financial Review
Source The Strategist (ASPI):
- Link to Source: | The Strategist | ASPI’s analysis and commentary site (aspi.au)
- Media Check: About us | Australian Strategic Policy Institute | ASPI
- Learning Outcomes: LEARNING OUTCOMES-RUNWAY | The Runway (airforce.gov.au)