BLUF
A recent war game conducted by the US and Japan simulated a Chinese invasion of Taiwan. The scenario showed that the US and Japan could successfully push back the Chinese military, but at a high cost in terms of human lives and damage to infrastructure.Summary
Raul Dancel writing in the Straits Times, makes the following points:
- He predicts heavy losses in just two weeks of fighting.
- Japan declares Chinese attacks an "existential threat".
- US and Taiwanese 2024 elections could give China a pretext to invade Taiwan.
- The US Air Force's chief of staff said a war with China over Taiwan was not 'imminent or inevitable'.
References
Recent Runway Posts related to this topic:
- Marines chief says deterring China will take ‘everything in the cupboard.’ - The Runway (airforce.gov.au)
- Analysis: Xi's new generals offer cohesion over possible Taiwan plans- The Runway (airforce.gov.au)
References from the Web:
- JAN 2023 War game suggests Chinese invasion of Taiwan would fail at a huge cost to US, Chinese and Taiwanese militaries-CNN
- FEB 2023 US general’s ‘gut’ feeling of war with China sparks alarm over predictions-the Guardian
