BLUF
Gregory Poling contends China’s coercive actions in the South China Sea—once effective—now fail to intimidate ASEAN states. Pushback has grown via diplomacy, modernization, and alliances; shifting the regional strategic balanceLearning Outcomes:
- Analyse weakening of Chinese grey-zone coercion and rising regional resistance.
- Inform ADF response planning for evolving maritime challenge landscapes.
- Support ADF role in strengthening regional deterrence through alliances and capacity-building.