BLUF

Finland's accession to NATO may significantly impact Russia's Baltic Fleet, with NATO controlling over 80% of the Baltic Sea coastline and Russia only having 7%. As a result, Russia's Baltic Fleet will be bottlenecked, and new anti-ship weapons in the hands of NATO countries may impede its passage to the open ocean.

Summary

Paul Goble writing in Eurasia Review makes the following points:
  • Russia’s loss of unimpeded Baltic Sea access may be more consequential than its huge new land border with Finland.
  • The Latvian foreign minister noted that “the Baltic Sea is becoming an internal NATO sea”.

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