The threat spectrum

Summary

Afeeya Akhand, Luisa Gyhn, Marcus Schultz and Shivangi Seth, writing in the Strategist, note the following threats:

Threats

1. Climate change- the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report notes that, without serious action, 2100 predicted 3.2-degree global warming would lead to food insecurity, pandemics, conflict, etc.
2. Challenges to democracy and the rule of law- the Israeli government’s proposal to enable the Knesset (Parliament) to override Supreme Court decisions threatens democracy and may lead to civil war.
3. Information operations- US Special Operations Command aims to build next-generation capabilities in social media, deep fakes, influence operations, digital deception, communication disruption, and disinformation.
4. Economic instability- the UK Integrated Security Fund will try to combat global economic volatility and insecurity.
5. Terrorism- destabilising Mali, Burkina Faso, Benin, Togo, the Sahel and coastal West Africa.

References

Recent Runway Posts related to this topic:

• Australia’s defence review must embrace whole-of-nation thinking - The Runway (airforce.gov.au)
• How Long Droughts Make Flooding Worse- The Runway (airforce.gov.au)

References from the Web:

• MAR 2023 Israel protests: PM Netanyahu delays legal reforms after day of strikes-BBC News
• MAR 2023 Climate change: 5 charts from the IPCC report that show why every increment of warming matters-World Economic Forum

Source Information: 

• Article Source: The Strategist | ASPI's analysis and commentary site (aspistrategist.org.au)
• Media Check: MEDIA CHECK Australian Government Overview | Transparency Portal
• RAAF RUNWAY: RATIONALE, GUIDELINES, LEARNING OUTCOMES, ETC