United States CIA Director Bill Burns believes Russia's invasion of Ukraine influences the Chinese government's considerations on how to reunite Taiwan with China.
This article by Rebecca Falconer, writing for Axios, makes the following points:
- Burns doesn't expect that a Chinese invasion is imminent but believes the risk of an attack by China against Taiwan increases the further into this decade we get.
- Burns said Russian President Vladimir Putin's ‘strategic failure’ in Ukraine will have unsettled Beijing.
- According to Burns, it’s less a question of whether the Chinese might choose to use force to control Taiwan at some point but how and when they would do it.
- Burns suspects the Chinese leadership's most important lesson from the Russo-Ukraine war is that China needs to use overwhelming force to invade Taiwan successfully.
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